Race breakdown

20:30 Southwell (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes · Thursday 15 October

Distance1m3f
GoingStandard
Runners7
Race typeFlat · Class 6
Ended

Result

7 ran · updated 22:43
  1. 1stNorflondonforeverSP 1/1FWinner
  2. 2ndJodhpur BlueSP 17/26l
  3. 3rdSuper HitSP 7/27l
  4. 4thNewportSP 10/19l

Runners & Race DNA fit

Informational only · 18+.

No.HorseFormRun styleWgtDNA fitHighest price
1
Stall 4
Public Enemy Stall 4Trainer Edward Smyth-OsbourneJockey Alistair Rawlinson
436/9–9-9
Questions to answer
41
–
2
Stall 2
Super Hit Stall 2Our pick Trainer James OwenJockey Jason Watson
375523–9-9
Mixed fit
56
–
3
Stall 3
Jodhpur Blue Stall 3Trainer Ian WilliamsJockey Ryan Kavanagh(3)
262536–9-9
Mixed fit
50
–
4
Stall 1
Newport Stall 1Trainer Iain JardineJockey Jack Nicholls(3)
541504–9-8
Mixed fit
51
–
5
Stall 7
Chesneys Charm Stall 7Trainer Ivan FurtadoJockey David Nolan
073734–9-8
Questions to answer
45
–
6
Stall 5
Norflondonforever Stall 5Trainer Faye BramleyJockey Edward Greatrex
004742–9-4
Questions to answer
38
–
7
Stall 6
Rajawail Stall 6Trainer Brian RothwellJockey Faye McManoman
070008–8-4
Questions to answer
5
–

About fit scores: Race DNA compares today's conditions (going, trip and course) with the conditions a horse has shown it handles. It is an analysis aid to help you form your own view – not a prediction, a tip or a recommendation to bet.

Why did it win?

Norflondonforever

The standard ground was not its usual preference (standard to slow). The 1m3f trip sits inside its best range. Its Race DNA fit before the race was 38 (questions to answer).

Our read from the result and the race conditions. An explanation, not a prediction.

Case for and against

Public Enemy

No. 1 · Stall 4 · Questions to answer

The case for

  • Has won at Class 4 (this is Class 6)

The case against

  • 1m3f is 5f shorter than its best range (2m–2m2½f)

Super Hit

No. 2 · Stall 2 · Mixed fit

The case for

  • Won 2 of 23 on standard ground
  • 1m3f is within its best range (7f–1m4f); won 2 of 8 at around this trip
  • Has won at Class 5 (this is Class 6)

The case against

  • No obvious negatives on paper

Jodhpur Blue

No. 3 · Stall 3 · Mixed fit

The case for

  • Won 1 of 13 on standard ground
  • 1m3f is within its best range (6f–1m4f); 6 placed from 11 at around this trip
  • Has won at Class 5 (this is Class 6)

The case against

  • No obvious negatives on paper

Newport

No. 4 · Stall 1 · Mixed fit

The case for

  • 1m3f is within its best range (1m–2m4f); 0 placed from 2 at around this trip
  • Has won at Class 5 (this is Class 6)
  • Trainer in form: 6 from 28 in the last 14 days

The case against

  • No obvious negatives on paper

Chesneys Charm

No. 5 · Stall 7 · Questions to answer

The case for

  • Won 3 of 10 on standard ground
  • Has won at Class 4 (this is Class 6)

The case against

  • 1m3f is 1f further than its best range (7f–1m2f)
  • Course: 0 from 3 at Southwell (AW)

Norflondonforever

No. 6 · Stall 5 · Questions to answer

The case for

  • Won 1 of 8 on standard ground

The case against

  • No obvious negatives on paper

Rajawail

No. 7 · Stall 6 · Questions to answer

The case for

  • Trainer in form: 1 from 5 in the last 14 days

The case against

  • 1m3f is 2½f further than its best range (7f–1m½f)
  • Course: 0 from 4 at Southwell (AW)

Case for/against points are generated from each horse's own race record. Thin records mean fewer points.